tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8314337641002386924.post1851567481449729095..comments2024-03-28T06:17:34.911-04:00Comments on DoubleSqueeze: Pressure (Warning: contains math)McKenziehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06326701257198329705noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8314337641002386924.post-7855674959866530592023-05-18T03:11:56.194-04:002023-05-18T03:11:56.194-04:00It is risky to risk but you must take that risk to...It is risky to risk but you must take that risk to win. Thanks for sharing! <a href="https://www.springhillfencecompany.com/" rel="nofollow">Fence Repair Spring Hill, FL</a>Angel17https://www.blogger.com/profile/12515866684980903711noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8314337641002386924.post-22949186521346695662009-01-09T12:09:00.000-05:002009-01-09T12:09:00.000-05:00There are actually a couple of other cases which n...There are actually a couple of other cases which need to be added to the equation.<BR/><BR/>In some cases, the opponents actually make 6 hearts. You then need to factor in the times you push them to 6 hearts making, the times you prevent them from bidding 6 hearts, and the various scores relating to 480 rather than 450.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04790865362786651821noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8314337641002386924.post-43327997582505430692008-12-31T20:47:00.000-05:002008-12-31T20:47:00.000-05:00So you make a good point that in the long run it's...So you make a good point that in the long run it's worth your while to sustain a very likely small minus (down an extra X) for the chance of a large plus (6H going down). <BR/><BR/>But shouldn't you compare that (admittedly positive) result to result from your other natural action, 4S? Given they are experts, they're likely to go on to 5H (for a push the way you're scoring), but they might double 4S.<BR/>Repeating your weighted average of down 1,2,3, or 4 I got 4S* being worth slightly more than 3 IMPs to you. Meaning that if there's a better than 2/15 chance that the opponents will sit for 4S*, then you will gain *more* bidding 4S than 5S.woodsythefriendlyowlhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13371246297028927632noreply@blogger.com